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Believing China Would Come To Nigeria’s Rescue In The Event Of A U.S. Invasion Is A Wrong Assumption — Garba
During an interview on Trust TV, political commentator Adamu Garba cautioned Nigerians against assuming that China would intervene militarily if the United States were to engage Nigeria in a direct conflict.
He stated firmly that anyone expecting Beijing to fight on Nigeria’s behalf in such a scenario was making a serious mistake.
Garba explained that international alliances are primarily driven by strategic interests, not sentiments. He said that while China and Nigeria share strong economic ties, those relations do not automatically translate into military commitments.
According to him, countries act based on self-preservation and benefit, especially when faced with the prospect of conflict involving global powers.
The former presidential aspirant pointed out that China’s foreign policy is largely non-confrontational and rooted in economic diplomacy rather than military aggression.
He reminded viewers that China’s global strategy focuses on trade, infrastructure development, and influence-building, not on engaging in wars that do not directly affect its territorial or economic security.
Garba drew comparisons to previous global conflicts, where China maintained diplomatic opposition but avoided military involvement.
He cited the U.S. interventions in Afghanistan and Iran as examples, noting that despite Beijing’s strong criticism, it never took any physical action against American forces. This, he said, clearly shows that China avoids entanglement in direct military disputes outside its sphere of influence.
He added that nations like Nigeria should not misinterpret diplomatic support or trade relations as a defense pact. Garba emphasized that global politics operates on the principle of interest, meaning every country ultimately acts in a way that serves its own stability and growth. In the event of an international crisis, he said, rhetoric and solidarity are no substitutes for action.
Garba argued that Nigeria must instead focus on building internal capacity and strong alliances through diplomacy and self-reliance.
He noted that relying on any foreign power, including China, for defense would be a costly mistake, especially when such nations are cautious about entering conflicts that could jeopardize their global economic standing.
The analyst warned that believing China would risk confrontation with the U.S. over Nigeria’s affairs is both unrealistic and dangerous.
He explained that Beijing’s military engagements are typically confined to defending its direct national interests, not those of distant partners, regardless of how cordial the diplomatic relationship may be.
According to Garba, historical precedents show that even countries with long-standing relationships with China have rarely received direct military support in times of Western pressure or intervention.
He said this pattern should inform Nigeria’s strategic planning and help the country avoid false expectations in its international outlook.
Garba reiterated that understanding the realities of global power politics is essential for Nigeria’s foreign policy formulation.
He maintained that no nation will risk global conflict on behalf of another unless there is a shared treaty or vested interest strong enough to justify such involvement.
Garba said, “Anybody thinking China is coming to fight on our behalf if the U.S. decides to invade Nigeria is making a mistake.”
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