Atiku: If He Had Supported GEJ, He’d Have Taken Over; If Under OBJ, He’d Have Been President -Amadi

In a recent interview on News Central TV, Dr. Sam Amadi, Director of the Abuja School of Social and Political Thought, offered a detailed analysis of political trajectories and historical “what-ifs” in Nigerian politics. He reflected on how strategic alliances and timing have shaped the careers of key political figures over the past decades.

According to Dr. Amadi, “If he had supported Jonathan, he’d have taken over; if under Obasanjo, he would have been president — Amadi.” He explained that Atiku Abubakar’s political fortunes have often been influenced by decisions of alignment and support within ruling administrations, and that alternate choices could have significantly altered his trajectory.

Amadi argued that the current defections into the African Democratic Congress (ADC) are reminiscent of these past strategic calculations, as politicians continue to weigh timing, alliances, and positioning ahead of the 2027 elections. He emphasised that history provides lessons for both current and emerging leaders.

He noted that while the ADC is gaining prominence through defections like Atiku’s and El-Rufai’s, success will depend on the coalition’s ability to present credible candidates with mass appeal. Past political missteps, Amadi suggested, often serve as a guide for understanding how to manage internal ambition and coalition dynamics.

Dr. Amadi further highlighted that zoning, party unity, and effective mobilisation are crucial factors in transforming the ADC into a serious political force. He stressed that while individual personalities are important, collective strategy and disciplined execution are what ultimately determine electoral success.

Concluding the discussion, Amadi underscored that the Nigerian political landscape remains highly dynamic, with history and strategic foresight continuing to shape outcomes. How politicians apply lessons from the past, he said, could redefine the nation’s political trajectory in 2027 and beyond.

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