According to Aljazeera News, on Wednesday February 4, 2026, a conversation that was previously unheard of in Israeli political and security circles is taking place as the Israeli war cabinet considers the possibility of launching a direct military attack on Iran.
The question at hand is whether Israel’s much-touted influence over Washington has been significantly diminished. Last weekend, Iran launched an unprecedented direct missile and drone attack on Israeli territory, heightening the seriousness of the subject.
The United States will not take part in an aggressive campaign against Iran, President Trump told Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in a stern message following the incident, even though a coalition led by the United States helped intercept most of the missiles. Israel is reflecting after months of tension over Gaza over the public red line.
The Trump administration is now standing firm and stating, ‘Don’t do it, we won’t support you, we won’t defend you,'” stated Ari Heistein of the Tel Aviv Institute for National Security Studies, who studies foreign affairs.
For decades, the United States’ unfaltering support has been a lynchpin of Israeli security strategy, granting strategic independence. However, this unequivocal warning has exposed a widening divide.
According to diplomatic correspondent Michal Paz, what matters is whether Israel’s conventional influence in Washington, which has been built on shared intelligence and bipartisan backing, can endure the present demands of an American election year, competing goals regarding Gaza, and a government intent on avoiding a regional conflict.
The cabinet needs to decide how to respond in a way that discourages Iran without provoking a disastrous breakdown in communication with its final security guarantee.
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