In a recent television appearance, a prominent political strategist has outlined how regional dynamics could reshape Nigeria’s electoral landscape, particularly regarding the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) party’s prospects.
Prof. Udenta Udenta, a Political Strategist and Founding National Secretary of the Alliance for Democracy, shared his analysis during an interview on Arise TV, focusing on the strategic implications of political zoning decisions.
Discussing the significance of regional power-sharing arrangements, Prof. Udenta stated that “Strategic zoning to the south, led by the Governors’ Forum, was a very important decision—a very important constitutional decision.”
However, he suggested that northern political forces may face unprecedented challenges in future electoral cycles. “The north may find it extraordinarily difficult this time around to do it, but for the simple reason that the south is already going to become a cohesive front,” Prof. Udenta explained.
The political analyst presented several scenarios involving key southern political figures that could impact the APC’s electoral fortunes. He argued that without strong opposition candidates, President Bola Tinubu could maintain broad southern support.
“If you don’t have a strong person like the former President Jonathan or Peter Obi to contend with Tinubu, then he takes the entire south,” Prof. Udenta observed.
However, he painted a different picture should former President Goodluck Jonathan enter the political fray. “If you have President Jonathan, for example, and maybe there’s no Obi in the ticket, the entire Southeast and South-South is gone from the APC. No doubt about it,” he declared confidently.
Prof. Udenta was equally emphatic about the potential impact of Peter Obi’s political involvement, stating: “If Peter Obi is going to contest and maybe former President Jonathan is out of the race, the same two zones should be completely out of the reach of the APC in spite of those politics.”
Regarding the People’s Democratic Party’s (PDP) strategic positioning, the analyst noted that “the PDP zoned to the south” and predicted that “the north will settle this dispute.”
Prof. Udenta concluded his analysis by suggesting that those attuned to current political developments would understand the strategic rationale behind potential southern political alignments, emphasizing that “anybody who has ears on the ground, who understands the tremors of politics and these tectonic shifts in the country today, will understand that the North is not naive for former President Jonathan—for very good reasons.”
The interview highlights growing discussions about regional political dynamics and their potential impact on Nigeria’s future electoral competitions.
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